Thursday, 22 February 2018

Russia reportedly tells US: "Leave Eastern Syria Immediately"

Let’s see if this is borne out anywhere else. I urge caution.

Russia Deploys Most-Advanced Fighter Jets to Syria after Telling US to "Leave Eastern Syria Immediately" -- A Fight is coming!


20 February, 2018

On Wednesday, 21 February 2018, Russia backed-up its demand that the United States depart from eastern Syria immediately: They deployed a squadron of their 5th Generation Multi-Role Fighter Jets, the SU-57.  These aircraft are the most-advanced military aircraft in Russia's arsenal and they exist to directly compete with, and to overcome, the newest US F-35's. 

It looks as though Russia is looking for payback after the US killed more than 200 Russian fighters in Syria last week.

A fight appears to be coming . . . a fight directly with Russia.

In addition to the SU-57's the Russian Federation also deployed several other new warplanes at Hmeimim Air Base in Syria, near the Syrian coastal city of Jableh.

According to Syrian pro-government sources, four Su-35 multi-role fighters like the one in the file photo below:

and four Su-25 attack aircraft escorted by a Tu-154M plane arrived to the airbase as shown in additional file photos below.


SU-25


TU-154M (Surveillance)

An A-50U Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEW&C) plane was also deployed.

The A-50U is equipped with a Vega Shmel-M radar. It can detect a launch of missile or a fighter jet in the range of 650km. The detection range for ground targets is 300km. The plane can remain in the air for more than 9 hours and has an ability to guide friendly fighters and track multiple enemy fighters on the same time. It can also detect ground targets and ships.


TARGET: GHOUTA

The new warplanes will support the long-awaited military operation of Syrian Arab Army (SAA) in the Eastern Ghouta area. The deployment could also be linked to the current tensions between US-backed forces and the Syrian-Iranian-Russian alliance in the Euphrates Valley.

This morning, a Russian Air Force plane flew directly from Damascus, Syria to Riyhad, Saudi Arabia, with a Russian Military official onboard who told the Saudis face-to-face "Pull your forces out of Ghouta or we will obliterate the place, Grozny-style."

In the 1999-2000 war in Chechnya, Russia used Thermobaric Bombs to utterly level Grozny.  Nothing survived anywhere in the entire city.

Given that none of the aircraft deployed today would be used to deliver a Thermobaric Bomb, they must be there for some other purpose: to fight the United States is most likely the reason.

We are extremely close to actual direct military engagement against Russia.  The US Mass-Media has not uttered even a single word about this.


If things go bad here, we will wake up one morning very soon to find ourselves in World War 3; and the American people will have been kept blissfully ignorant until it was too late.

80 deg. F in Boston in mid-February

It’s a steamy 80 degrees in New England. In February. That’s bad.

21 February, 2018

From the North Pole to New England, the weather this week is far, far out of the ordinary — then again, there isn’t really any such thing as ordinary any more. While the numbers are still rolling in, it looks like Wednesday will be the warmest February day in history for nearly the entire U.S. East Coast.

An unseasonable heat wave triggered the rare mid-winter melt, when an exaggerated jet stream sent a plume of tropical air from the Caribbean over eastern North America and into the Arctic. These are atmospheric conditions that would be unusual even for mid-summer, and the warming Arctic itself might be making them more likely.


The result is weather more suited to Memorial Day than Valentine’s Day. In the Northeast, temperatures are as much as 40 degrees higher than normal, with bewildered residents shedding their parkas to hit the beach. Boston hit 70 degrees on Tuesday — a mark not normally reached until May 27th — and then topped that on Wednesday with a June-worthy 72 degrees. It was the first instance of back-to-back 70-degree February days in nearly 150 years of record keeping in that city. Nearby, Fitchburg, Massachusetts hit 80 degrees.

In Washington, D.C., where some cherry trees have already begun to bloom, thermometers reached 80 degrees for the earliest date in the city’s history. That triggered the National Weather Service to switch into summer mode, calculating a heat index of 83 and warning of high pollen counts. The summery warmth is expected to linger at least through the end of the month.
I
f this all sounds familiar, it should: A similar (though less extreme) February heat wave happened at this exact same time last year.

In 2017, 17 states experienced their warmest February on record, leading to the early emergence of plants and animals across a huge swath of the southeast United States. Scientists rely on the connection between ecosystem signals and the weather to help define the official start of spring by the appearance of leaves, flowers, and birds — and last year’s signals were alarmingly out of whack.

It looks like that pattern is repeating this year, first along the Southwest and West Coast after a record-warm November, December, and January, and now in the East. According to the National Phenology Network, which uses a mathematical model to predict the start of spring and leaf emergence in real-time, spring has sprung as far north as Kentucky and Maryland, more than three weeks ahead of schedule.

All of this makes February America’s fastest warming month, especially in New England. Call it “Februne” — a little taste of summer at a time of the year that should be freezing cold.

There are obvious reasons to enjoy the starkly pleasant weather, but many are conflicted by yet another example of our strange new climate interrupting the natural rhythm of the seasons. There’s good reason to be unsettled: Plants and animals that have evolved together over millions of years have trouble adapting to change this fast. In some cases, when animals awake from hibernation, they might miss the emergence of the bug larvae that are their preferred food source– which themselves may have missed the early bloom of the flowers they rely on for food.

Migratory birds and butterflies veering off course are perhaps the most well-documented examples of this warming-induced phenological mismatch. As the trend toward a shorter winter continues, this effect will only grow more pronounced. And as nature de-synchronizes, things like pest outbreaks and crop failures may happen more often, too.

In the Arctic, as usual, the change is even more extreme. Northern Alaska is 45 degrees F warmer than usual and the North Pole is expected to briefly cross the melting point later this week — even under the complete darkness of midwinter. The Bering Sea, which separates Alaska and Russia, is now almost totally ice-freeexactly when it typically hits its yearly ice maximum.

Or as Rick Thoman, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Alaska, put it:“You could sail a boat to north of the Arctic Circle. In February.”

Welcome to our weird, warm new world.




Arctic temperatures soar 45 degrees above normal

Arctic temperatures soar 45 degrees above normal, flooded by extremely mild air on all sides
By Jason Samenow 


The temperature difference from normal over the Arctic averaged over the next five days in the GFS model forecast. (University of Maine Climate Reanalyzer)

21 February, 2018


While the Eastern United States simmers in some of its warmest February weather ever recorded, the Arctic is also stewing in temperatures more than 45 degrees above normal. This latest huge temperature spike in the Arctic is another striking indicator of its rapidly transforming climate.

On Monday and Tuesday, the northernmost weather station in the world, Cape Morris Jesup at the northern tip of Greenland, experienced more than 24 hours of temperatures above freezing according to the Danish Meteorological Institute

“How weird is that?” tweeted Robert Rohde, a physicist at the University of California at Berkeley. “Well it’s Arctic winter. The sun set in October and won’t be seen again until March. Perpetual night, but still above freezing.”

This thaw occurred as a pulse of extremely mild air shot through the Greenland Sea.
Warm air is spilling into the Arctic from all sides. On the opposite end of North America, abnormally mild air also poured over northern Alaska on Tuesday, where the temperature in Utqiaġvik, previously known as Barrow, soared to a record high of 31 degrees (minus-1 Celsius), 40 degrees (22 Celsius) above normal.
For Feb 20th, (unofficial) average daily temperature departure-from-normal for North Slope locales: Umiat: +45F (+25C) , Deadhorse +44F, Nuiqsut: +43F, Wainwright: +40F Utqiaġvik: +39F, Kaktovik +35F. @Climatologist49 @CinderBDT907

The warmth over Alaska occurred as almost one-third of the ice covering the Bering Sea off Alaska’s West Coast vanished in just over a week during the middle of February, InsideClimateNews reported.

Temperatures over the entire Arctic north of 80 degrees latitude have averaged about 10 degrees (6 Celsius) above normal since the beginning of the calendar year, sometimes spiking over 25 degrees  (14 Celsius) above normal (the normal temperature is around minus-22, or minus-30 Celsius).

These kinds of temperature anomalies in the Arctic have become commonplace in winter in the past few years. “[T]he *persistence* of the above average temperatures is quite striking,” tweeted Zack Labe, a PhD candidate in climate science at the University of California at Irvine.
View image on Twitter
While there is always large variability in the winter, the *persistence* of the above average temperatures is quite striking in the last few years.

Average is the light blue line. Gray lines indicate years from 1958-2015 [>80°N latitude; http://sites.uci.edu/zlabe/arctic-temperatures/ ].


While there is always large variability in the #Arctic winter, the *persistence* of the above average temperatures is quite striking in the last few years.
Some of the most extreme warmth of the year so far is forecast to flood the Arctic in coming days, with a number of areas seeing temperatures that exceed 45 degrees (25 Celsius) above normal (dark pink shades below) and up to 60 degrees (34 Celsius) above normal. The mercury at the North Pole could well rise above freezing between Thursday and Sunday.

(WeatherBell.com, adapted by CWG)

This next batch of abnormally warm air is forecast to shoot the gap between Greenland and northern Europe through the Greenland and Barents seas. Similar circumstances occurred in December 2016, when the temperature at the North Pole last flirted with the melting point in the dark, dead of winter. We documented similarly large jumps in temperature in November 2016 and December 2015.

An analysis from Climate Central said these extreme winter warming events in the Arctic, once rare, could become commonplace if the planet continues warming. A study in the journal Nature published in 2016 found the decline of sea ice in the Arctic “is making it easier for weather systems to transport this heat polewards.”

Arctic sea ice was at its lowest extent on record this past January, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

“I have sailed boats through [the Arctic Sea] but never this time of year,” tweeted David Thoreson, an Arctic photographer. “It’s amazing to watch this unfold.”
The record-setting temperatures and lack of ice is exactly what scientists have projected over the Arctic for years and it’s fundamentally changing the landscape.
“Arctic shows no sign of returning to reliably frozen region of recent past decades,” NOAA concluded in its Arctic Report Card, published in December.